Hi all,
I turned 51 a little while ago and it's been several years since my last confession, err check-in. I've reached a point where I'm probably FI in the sense that I could cover all my fixed costs for the rest of my life, but I'd like to allow for more discretionary spending. I'm thinking I'll work another 3-4 years to about age 55 and then re-evaluate. Age 55 would also give me penalty-free access to my 401k monies, and that would make the logistics of retirement much easier. Once I hit 55, I'll evaluate where I am and decide if I want to quit, go part time, or keep charging ahead. Specific questions below:
1. Given the details below, do you think I'm on track to be able to spend $80k/yr (~$90k/yr before taxes) if I retire in 3.5 years (January 2028)?
2. I've been struggling to get my AA down, but the darn stock market keeps going up!
Rather than trying to force a certain AA, I'm thinking that as long as I have ~10 years of expenses in fixed that should be enough. 10 x ($90k - $28k pension) = ~$520k. Make it $550k to cover inflation eroding the pension. Does that seem like a reasonable number?
3. Now that my time to retirement is shortening, I'd love to have something like a 10-year TIPS ladder beginning at retirement, but that seems very difficult. I have (almost) all my bonds in the pre-tax 401k right now. The only 2 options are a total bond fund (essentially BND) or a stable value fund. There is an investment portal option, but it's limited to ETFs/funds (no individual bonds). Could I buy 2-3 TIPS ETFs of different durations and weight them to make a pseudo-ladder?
4. I've been funding a DAF with 2-3 years' of donations at a time using appreciated shares, and I'd like to keep using it until RMDs kick in at 75. Would it make sense to pre-fund a large chunk of donations while I'm still working and in the 24% bracket, or after I retire when the stocks will (hopefully!) have appreciated more but I'm only in the 12% bracket?
5. Kind of the opposite of #4, if stocks swoon, should I tax-loss harvest like I have in the past? Right now, I have enough TLH losses saved up to take the $3k deduction on regular income through 2026. If I get another opportunity, would it make sense to extend losses beyond 2028? I feel like all it will be doing is offsetting LTCG then.
Emergency funds: 6 mo. + fund for irregular expenses like car, home repair, appliances, etc.
Debt: None (Own my home free and clear)
Tax Filing Status: Single
Federal Tax Rate: 32% Federal, plus NII; Should drop back to 24% starting in 2025
State Tax Rate: 5.75% through 2024, then 0% for 2025+
State of Residence: TN (permanent) + VA (through 2024)
Age: 51
Desired Asset allocation: ~75/25, gliding down to 65/35 over the next 4 years
Desired International allocation: 25% of stocks
Net worth is ~$1.5MM, split ~$1.1MM cash/investments and $400k in home value
Taxable 44% of total ($475k)
VTSAX 92%Vanguard Total Stock Market
T-Bills 8% Most in a 1-yr maturing early '25
Sweep/MMF 0%
Roth 12% of total ($135k)
VTSAX(ER=0.04%) 50% Vanguard Total Stock Market
VTIAX(ER=0.11%) 50% Vanguard Total International Stock Market
401k 34% of total ($375k, ~$30k is Roth)
INDXMNL(ER=0.02%)19% S&P 500 fund
R25NLM(ER=0.06%)10% Russell 2500 (market completion) fund
ACWIMNL(ER=0.09%)35% Total International
DEBTWNL(ER=0.04%)36% Total Bond (Intermediate) fund
HSA 5% of total ($50k)
Savings account 4% (Minimum required)
VITSX(ER=0.035%)96% (Institutional version of VTSAX, i.e., TSM)
Cash / CDs / Etc.5% of total ($50k)
Ally HYSA 30%
IBonds 70%
Breakdowns
Stock%79.7%
Bonds%18.9%
Cash% 1.5%
Foreign Stock%23.0%
Anticipated annual contributions (~$110k/yr+match)
$30.5k 401k pretax + ~$5k match: 100% to Total Bond fund
$36.5k 401k mega-backdoor Roth: 65% international, 25% S&P, 10% Russell 2500
$8k Roth IRA [Already contributed for 2024]
$3,650 HSA (+$500 from employer)
$10k to I-Bonds
~$20k taxable VTSAX (TSM)
$2k to savings / T-Bills
I'm eligible for an immediate (reduced) pension with no COLA. The value at age 55, in today's dollars, should be about $28k / yr. It comes with access to retiree medical at slightly higher than the employee cost, which to me makes claiming the pension immediately at retirement the obvious choice.
SS Estimates: About $26k / $37k / $46k @ 62 / 67 / 70 [Assumes I quit at 55, slightly higher if I work longer]
I turned 51 a little while ago and it's been several years since my last confession, err check-in. I've reached a point where I'm probably FI in the sense that I could cover all my fixed costs for the rest of my life, but I'd like to allow for more discretionary spending. I'm thinking I'll work another 3-4 years to about age 55 and then re-evaluate. Age 55 would also give me penalty-free access to my 401k monies, and that would make the logistics of retirement much easier. Once I hit 55, I'll evaluate where I am and decide if I want to quit, go part time, or keep charging ahead. Specific questions below:
1. Given the details below, do you think I'm on track to be able to spend $80k/yr (~$90k/yr before taxes) if I retire in 3.5 years (January 2028)?
2. I've been struggling to get my AA down, but the darn stock market keeps going up!

3. Now that my time to retirement is shortening, I'd love to have something like a 10-year TIPS ladder beginning at retirement, but that seems very difficult. I have (almost) all my bonds in the pre-tax 401k right now. The only 2 options are a total bond fund (essentially BND) or a stable value fund. There is an investment portal option, but it's limited to ETFs/funds (no individual bonds). Could I buy 2-3 TIPS ETFs of different durations and weight them to make a pseudo-ladder?
4. I've been funding a DAF with 2-3 years' of donations at a time using appreciated shares, and I'd like to keep using it until RMDs kick in at 75. Would it make sense to pre-fund a large chunk of donations while I'm still working and in the 24% bracket, or after I retire when the stocks will (hopefully!) have appreciated more but I'm only in the 12% bracket?
5. Kind of the opposite of #4, if stocks swoon, should I tax-loss harvest like I have in the past? Right now, I have enough TLH losses saved up to take the $3k deduction on regular income through 2026. If I get another opportunity, would it make sense to extend losses beyond 2028? I feel like all it will be doing is offsetting LTCG then.
Emergency funds: 6 mo. + fund for irregular expenses like car, home repair, appliances, etc.
Debt: None (Own my home free and clear)
Tax Filing Status: Single
Federal Tax Rate: 32% Federal, plus NII; Should drop back to 24% starting in 2025
State Tax Rate: 5.75% through 2024, then 0% for 2025+
State of Residence: TN (permanent) + VA (through 2024)
Age: 51
Desired Asset allocation: ~75/25, gliding down to 65/35 over the next 4 years
Desired International allocation: 25% of stocks
Net worth is ~$1.5MM, split ~$1.1MM cash/investments and $400k in home value
Taxable 44% of total ($475k)
VTSAX 92%Vanguard Total Stock Market
T-Bills 8% Most in a 1-yr maturing early '25
Sweep/MMF 0%
Roth 12% of total ($135k)
VTSAX(ER=0.04%) 50% Vanguard Total Stock Market
VTIAX(ER=0.11%) 50% Vanguard Total International Stock Market
401k 34% of total ($375k, ~$30k is Roth)
INDXMNL(ER=0.02%)19% S&P 500 fund
R25NLM(ER=0.06%)10% Russell 2500 (market completion) fund
ACWIMNL(ER=0.09%)35% Total International
DEBTWNL(ER=0.04%)36% Total Bond (Intermediate) fund
HSA 5% of total ($50k)
Savings account 4% (Minimum required)
VITSX(ER=0.035%)96% (Institutional version of VTSAX, i.e., TSM)
Cash / CDs / Etc.5% of total ($50k)
Ally HYSA 30%
IBonds 70%
Breakdowns
Stock%79.7%
Bonds%18.9%
Cash% 1.5%
Foreign Stock%23.0%
Anticipated annual contributions (~$110k/yr+match)
$30.5k 401k pretax + ~$5k match: 100% to Total Bond fund
$36.5k 401k mega-backdoor Roth: 65% international, 25% S&P, 10% Russell 2500
$8k Roth IRA [Already contributed for 2024]
$3,650 HSA (+$500 from employer)
$10k to I-Bonds
~$20k taxable VTSAX (TSM)
$2k to savings / T-Bills
I'm eligible for an immediate (reduced) pension with no COLA. The value at age 55, in today's dollars, should be about $28k / yr. It comes with access to retiree medical at slightly higher than the employee cost, which to me makes claiming the pension immediately at retirement the obvious choice.
SS Estimates: About $26k / $37k / $46k @ 62 / 67 / 70 [Assumes I quit at 55, slightly higher if I work longer]
Statistics: Posted by Grogs — Sun Jun 02, 2024 3:20 pm — Replies 1 — Views 313